Playing the percentages

March 30th, 2014

It's spring cleaning, which means putting away the football charts that have been collecting on a dining table no longer used for dining.

Among the notes:

> The Rainbow Warriors were in formations involving three or more receivers on 71.1 percent of their offensive plays in 2013.

> They were in five-receiver sets six times.

> They played at a relatively fast pace, averaging a play every 20.3 seconds.

> They are ranked 38th nationally in explosive drives at 15.8 percent, according to the Freemau Efficiency Index. That's a system that tallies full drives averaging at least 10 yards per play.

> They had explosive drives on 29 of their 184 full possessions (that were not abbreviated by the ends of halves.)

> In the final nine games, when quarterback coach Jordan Wynn took over as the lead play-caller, there were explosive drives on 26 of 145 full possessions, or 18.4 percent.

> The defense relinquished explosive drives at 12.9 percent.

> Opponents lost fumbles on 35.7 percent of the Scott Harding punts they tried to return.



35 Responses to “Playing the percentages”

  1. ai-eee-soos:


  2. ai-eee-soos:

    Gotta like this ...

    " Opponents lost fumbles on 35.7 percent of the Scott Harding punts they tried to return."

  3. ai-eee-soos:

    Gotta go 7-6, minimum.

    Gotta make it to the Hawaii Bowl, otherwise it might go up in smoke.

  4. Stephen Tsai:

    Harding was pretty amazing. Of his 56 punts, only 14 were returned, and five of them were lost on fumbles.

  5. ai-eee-soos:

    ST: Could you write something as to why Rauscher left, if it's not

    "incompatible" with this blog.

  6. Stephen Tsai:

    It's a rough start, but I think a reasonable goal would be to have a winning MWC record.

  7. Kaimuki Kid:

    Top 10 Good morning everyone!

  8. tommui:


    Good morrow to the Statisticians!

  9. Stephen Tsai:

    Stats are just fun things to toss around.
    I don't think football or any sport can be fully measured or assessed with just numbers.
    For instance, several years ago, UH was 20th nationally in total defense, but it was near the bottom in points allowed. And, of course, total defense measures yards allowed, not scoring, so maybe it shouldn't be a "total" category.
    In basketball there are shooting charts and percentages. But there's no available data on percentages when LeBron's hand is in front of a shooter's face.
    Big picture: I'm cleaning the dining table.

  10. whitey:

    st, after you done with your table, you can do mine. i scared to even start.

  11. SteveM:

    Good morning everyone!

    ST -- maybe you should laminate your charts and use them as place settings or table "cloth".

  12. PurpleMaple:

    Winning starts with believing you can. Huskies are beatable with Chow's offense. Right now, defense looks good with the players coming back and the new additions. Clune has to deliver.

  13. Mainlander:

    Who is taking Rauscher"s place as TEs coach?

  14. Kris:

    All that and an embarrassing 1-11 record.

  15. Fei Jai:

    Three losing seasons in a row. Hard.

  16. st. anthony trojan:


    can ??? chicken at wendy' pay go
    we ....on???

  17. jalansky:

    Thanks, ST, for the stats. They substantiate what Sean Schroeder emphatically stated at the end of last season: that Coach Chow has UH moving in the right direction. In this regard, I also remember a comment by Scott Harding in 2013, in which he used an Aussie term: "Anyone can see that this year's side is better than last year's." If our defense improves, and I expect it will, our team will be really exciting to watch this fall! Go Rainbow Warriors!

  18. Haleakala:

    36% fumbles when the returner tries to field Harding's punt. That is huge. I wish that they would try to return every one of his punts this coming season.

  19. kp3409:

    Great series win for the BaseBows. 12-4 spanking today.

  20. st. anthony trojan:

    wow # 19 great news...hope they do well at home...also

  21. kp3409:

    Now if Gib could see the benefits of a tough OOC schedule.

  22. A-House:

    looking through "colored" glass - one can see many things - good and bad; happy or unhappy; "up or down".

    the transmitter does not count as much as the receiver, processing the information, analyzing, categorizing, and reaching conclusion{s}.

    looking at "punting" stats for Harding, it's difficult to accept that he did not even make All-MWC - because the stats that the conference used was "distance" and "hang time" - why, because that's what the NFL considers being effective - therefore, one can conclude that the NFL determines what statistics are the best for collegiate ball - for example, the 1st team All American punter had a 57 yard average on 45 punts, average hang time of 4.5 seconds, but all punts were returned for a 12 yard average with no fumbles (all statistics are fabricated) - or, is this the wrong comparison for Harding's accomplishments?

    is this any different if UH was 12th in defense, but 111th in giving up most points - how can this happen? you figure it out.

    why is a "chair" called a chair? cause someone decided that what it would be called - human nature

  23. Tired:

    #15, #16.....I don' think you understood........what Fei Jai means is losing makes him hard....he's a very weird dude.

  24. Jellybean:


  25. 3-Prong:

    Only #25!?!

  26. Ipu Man:


  27. Ipu Man:

    Ok, lurkers, you can do this. Type something for the Gipper, or should it be the Tsipper?

  28. leron:

    #22 ask Wyoming. At one point in the game, their punt receive team didn't even bother to run back to block, likely because no one wanted to get in the way of a Harding punt again. Have never seen that before.

  29. Rodney:

    When is spring practice ?

  30. whitey:

    top 30, hooray, hooray

  31. el burro sabio:

    ST I noticed that Ualesi Sale is not on the spring roster. Any news on him?

  32. SteveM:

    Slow day. Thought I'd finish up the month of April 2007 from my list of "FIRSTS" from yesterday:

    Apr 13: Kazz = WOOOO HOOOOOOOO FIRST POST!!! (aka "Kevin")
    Apr 14: OnDaUpper48FoNowCuz = Uno

    Comment from: Stephen [Member]
    Jim Leahey wanted to be first, but he can't decide on an online name.
    I suggested: Jim Leahey.
    He said: "No, no. Not that."
    You get the picture.
    By the time he figures it out, we're in the 30s.
    But he'll always be No. 1 among our sportscaster friends.
    04/14/07 @ 09:34

    Apr15: hawaiianbod = 1st!
    Apr 16: madeinhawaii = Whoah.. early start!
    Apr 17: 99club
    Apr 18: hank = Ekahi!
    Apr 23: Garret = First
    Apr 30: las vegas = Banzai!

  33. Da Punchbowl Kid:


  34. Da Punchbowl Kid:

    Looking forward to spring ball.

  35. Da Punchbowl Kid:

    Tomorrow's SA will have an article on spring ball, so says da TV news folks.